Yamamoto signs for one year, Chara comes full circle, Frozen Tools (September 19) – DobberHockey
The Oilers eventually struck a deal with RFA Kailer Yamamoto, signing him again to a one-year contract worth $ 1.175 million. This is essentially a one-year “prove it” contract for Yamamoto, whose production fell to 0.40 PTS / GP (21 PTS in 52 GP) after producing at a close point per game ( 26 PTS in 27 GP) after a 2019-2020 mid-season call-up.
Yamamoto’s success that season had a lot to do with his place on a line with Leon Draisaitl and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, but that unit was severed last season. Given the potential to play alongside one or both of the league’s top scorers last season, Yamamoto has solid sleeper potential, as well as the motivation for another contract year. Currently, he is only listed in 10 percent of Yahoo leagues.
One downside could be the lack of power play time, which Yamamoto averaged just 37 seconds per game last season while scoring just two power play points. This is an extremely low number given that McDavid and Draisaitl each scored over 30 PPPs, which like the overall points total were the top two in the league.
Zdeno Chara is back for another season, joining the team that traded him 20 years ago! The Islanders have signed a one-year contract with the over-40 defenseman (amount withheld). Enter her 24e NHL season, Chara is currently 13e in all-time matches played (1608 GP). For the Isles, Chara fills a void on the left side, although he is likely a third defender at this point in his career. It should be noted that he only missed one game with the Capitals last season. Chara’s presence could push Thomas Hickey into the press gallery and keep Robin Salo in the AHL. Do not forget that the Isles also bring Erik Gustafsson on PTO (discussed yesterday).
DobberHockey’s 16th Annual Fantasy Hockey Guide is now available and fully updated, even with the signing of Chara and the PTO players. Pick it up here! Or download it again for updates.
As I’m looking for potential breakouts for next season, I thought I would take a look at Frozen Tools. Effectively, there is a Next Year Breakout button that shows players entering their fourth season in the NHL, which is the season where many players take a big step forward.
I have filtered the list to show players with at least 100 games played (I understood that an NHL season had not had 82 games in the last two seasons). Then I sorted by points per game played. That would only let me take the data from last season.
|name||Pos||Age||Team||Years||Career general practitioner||GP||g||A||pls||PTS / GP|
I won’t go into some of the obvious names, like Elias Pettersson or Quinn Hughes or Andrei Svechnikov. Instead, I’m going to take a look at a few players that you might not know exactly where to rank in the coming season. Maybe there are reasons why the following players might break out, so let’s find out.
You might have seen / can see the top two players in other posts this week, but keep in mind that this is strictly my point of view and will be different in some way or another. other.
Hintz shocked the fantasy world by scoring more than a point per game last season, but I will probably remember him more as the “perpetual decision of playing time”. You are truly dedicated to fantasy hockey if you have the patience to check your roster 30 minutes before the game every time it is playing just to confirm. Now that he’s had his offseason surgery and is at 100 percent, even bigger and better things should be in store, right?
Better health can mean better results, but you might want to take a look at some of his advanced stats before using this high pick on him (ADP 65.7 in Yahoo). The main outliers were an 11.2 5-out-5% SH and 3.5 PTS / 60, which were considerably higher than those in his previous two seasons. In addition, an AOP 1039 was also quite high. A bit of good news in the advanced stats department showed a 32.1 lower than normal secondary assist percentage.
Another bright spot on Hintz is a potential increase in power play points, as Chris Kane pointed out in the latest Frozen Tools Forensics. So the conclusion I could draw from Hintz overall is that I don’t think he’ll be a point per game player again. However, he will remain a very efficient player anyway, and you should expect him to be in your roster more often. I think he’s drafted a little too high in the Yahoo Leagues, but since I have him in the Top 100 Roto Rankings, I wouldn’t wait for him to drop too far below his ADP before drafting him. It probably won’t go under the radar.
If I had to pick one player I’m most interested in in the Canucks this season, it’s Garland. From what I’ve seen of the Coyotes watching Garland, he’s a very difficult little player to play against. And he was on a 65-point pace for the Coyotes.
Fantasy Take: Canucks acquire Garland, OEL for picks and bad contracts
Building a record for Garland even further, some of his forward stats in 2020-21 were a bit low. Specifically, his percentage of secondary assistance, which was 18.5%. This indicates that a player is often involved in the game, which Garland does. Additionally, Garland’s 8.9% SH was lower than the 11-14% he shot in his first two seasons. His 9.6-5-5 shooting percentage, however, was higher than it had been in his first two seasons.
Fun fact: The Coyotes scored 2.68 GP / GP last season, while the Canucks scored 2.64 GP / GP. Obviously there are two teams heading in opposite directions offensively, and I don’t think anyone would expect the Coyotes to outperform the Canucks this season. So a massive breakthrough might not be in the cards for Garland, but an ADP of 174 at Yahoo is still way, way too low for him.
If Elias Pettersson turns out to be an obstacle to any part of training camp, Garland’s chances of being used on the First Unit’s power play improve. If Garland can stay there all season, with someone like Bo Horvat or Brock Boeser moving on to the second unit, he could be in for a really big year. Garland has scored 10 power play points in each of his previous two seasons, so there is room for growth in this category as well.
Overall, I like Garland’s chances of being a breakout threat that could make it into the Top 100 Roto Rankings at some point.
I remember several fantasy experts predicting that Dahlin was going to have a big season in 2020-21, during which he would enter the elite circle of fantasy defenders. Unfortunately, the Buffalo tire fire got in the way and Dahlin easily had his worst season of his three seasons in the NHL (0.41 PTS / GP, minus-36).
As a result of this season, and possibly due to the lack of talent that currently surrounds him, Dahlin has fallen to a Yahoo ADP of 151. On top of that, Dahlin is currently an unsigned RFA with a training camp starting. in several days. It all adds up to a ton of reasons to ignore Dahlin.
However, some advanced statistics indicate that he was the victim of a bit of bad luck. Dahlin had a low score of 1.1 PTS / 60 last season, up from 2.1 PTS / 60 in 2019-20. His AOP was also a career low of 964. He was a player who had a 56-point pace in 2019-20 who cooled to a 34-point pace in 2020-21. Part of this regression must surely go the other way.
Overall, Dahlin is expected to bounce back one way or another in 2021-2022. The Sabers couldn’t be worse, so maybe a little improvement in the squad will help Dahlin’s numbers. However, it could just be a case where Dahlin doesn’t produce his full potential until the team around him improves dramatically.
Hronek has had an interesting 2020-21 season statistically. He led the Red Wings with 26 points, but only two of those points were goals. And both were empty nets. In addition, he also led the Wings in points despite scoring less than half a point per game. Only the Anaheim Ducks scored fewer goals than the Red Wings (125 G in 56 GP) last season, which would have had a ripple effect. Hronek may have recorded more points in a higher scoring team, but would he have had the opportunity for a first unit power play?
Hronek scored nine goals the previous season, so it’s not like he doesn’t have any scoring ability. Unsurprisingly, his shooting percentage was a very low 1.8%. Of course, it’s not the lowest in the league, as there have been several players who haven’t scored a goal all season despite playing almost a full season (Alex Edler and Mike Reilly are two examples of this. ). Hronek’s 5/5% SH was also quite low at 4.7%.
Hronek recorded 24 career-high assists, 75% of which were secondary assists. No player has recorded so many assists with such a high percentage of secondary assists. As the goals are likely to increase, the assists are likely to decline. So we could envision a player who will score at a similar pace to last season or throughout his career, around half a point per game. That being said, if the Wings’ offense improves, it could also lead to a few more points increase.