Ramblings – A look at potential players for next year (June 28) – DobberHockey
July 10-15e DobberHockey Fantasy Prospects annual report. Over 400 players with the truth on their good side, how likely they are to succeed, how long we have to wait for them to help our fantastic teams and much more. Over 100 conscript profiles with Mock Draft. It is ‘the’ bible for anyone in a dynasty league. You will refer to it throughout the season. And if you buy it as part of the Keeper League Pack, it’s only an extra five dollars on top of the Fantasy Guide.
We’re now at that point where there’s no more content on ice to discuss, and for most of the next 80 days, I’m left with whatever goes through my mind. “Rambles”, if you will.
This topic can be done to death over the next couple of months, but since this is the first time I’ve personally looked into this topic, it’s ok. Escape players. In general, to dig them deeper, we should focus on players approaching (or recently hitting) the 200-game mark for their career. They also cannot have already erupted. For small players or big players, the threshold increases to 400 games.
Who are the candidates in 2021-22 to become the next Alex DeBrincat, Martin Necas and Samuel Girard? I take a look at a few that are hovering around the 200 game mark (this will save the 400 players for another time, as this one requires more analysis).
Conor Garland, Arizona – You could argue that Garland already had his breakthrough last year, having finished with an 82-game pace of 65 points. But I think there is still other equipment. He is 36 games from the 200-point threshold. Last year, he had 22 points in his first 23 games and finished with seven in his last four.
Andrew Mangiapane, Calgary – His 82-game pace over his three NHL seasons breaks down as follows: 24, 39 and 47. Now 22 games under 200, all he needs is another shot with Matt Tkachuk on his line. He had Tkachuk a few times in the first half but couldn’t really see him in the second half when Mangiapane really hit his stride.
Andrei Svechnikov, Caroline – He already has a 74 point pace, although since he was slowing down that year (2019-20) I suspect he would have finished with around 69 or 70. But this guy obviously has the next gear. And 205 games in his NHL career, what better time to hit him?
Warren Foegele, Caroline – Foegele has seen a steady increase in ice time and although his production did not increase last season, he is fighting for more responsibility. With his contract in place, there are rumors the team could move him. Maybe they’re using it in a deal with Seattle, for a mix of favors and perks. In an expansion team, this could be your next William Karlsson. Foegele has played exactly 200 career NHL games.
Miro Heiskanen, Dallas – In three years in the NHL, he was just a 40-point player. But last year, in the playoffs, we saw the “real” Heiskanen. He had 26 points in 27 games when games mattered most, and fantasy owners wait for that to emerge in the regular season. John Klingberg held it back a bit, but soon it won’t matter. There is room for two 60-point defenders. Heiskanen has played 205 career games.
Filip Hronek, Detroit – This talented defender’s lack of progress is simple – the rest of the squad sucks. But a healthy Tyler Bertuzzi, the arrival of Jakub Vrana and the hopeful arrival of Lucas Raymond or Jonatan Berggren (not to mention rearguard Moritz Seider), greatly improve the squad that the surrounded. His offense will improve with the team. And no, Seider shouldn’t hurt its production on the road.
Jesse Puljujarvi, Edmonton – Puljujarvi will be a great power forward. Fans and fantasy owners just need to be patient. He’s just had his best season in the NHL (pace 37 points) and every quarter has been better than the last. He’s showing signs of clicking with Connor McDavid and that chemistry will only get better. He has played 194 career NHL games and was only 23 recently.
Jesper Bratt, New Jersey – I don’t think Bratt has huge potential, but I still think he can turn 65. The time to acquire it is now. The only thing that can dethrone him are injuries, and that’s been a problem for him ever since he turned pro. Twice he gave us a pace of 53 points in the full season. Now 231 games in his career, I think this is the year he gives us 60 if he can stay healthy (big if).
Nico Hischier, New Jersey – It’s going really well because Bratt and Hischier often play together. If one breaks out, it certainly helps the other. Hischier had been devastated by an injury last year, but last year was meant to be his breakthrough. Now 230 games, he’s ready. His career-high pace is 56 points and he can certainly reach 70.
Brady Tkachuk, Ottawa – Tkachuk has hovered around 0.63 points per game in his three NHL seasons. We are now entering the fourth. And he played 198 games in the NHL. If you believe in that stuff, and you should, then this will be the year. It doesn’t hurt that the team around him grows with him, improves alongside him.
Robert Thomas, St. Louis – Thomas is starting to become a Band-Aid Boy and I’m not sure I trust him to give us 75 games next year. But it’s worth a bet if it could be had in the dynasty leagues on the cheap. He’s played 169 games, so his breakout may not hit until the second half, but he has the advantage of displaying frontline numbers and if that happens it will happen without the next two years.
Chris Chelios spent 16 years between the Stanley Cups. Mark Recchi spent 15 years between the Stanley Cups. Eric Staal could spend 15 years between the Cups if the Habs win everything this year. Corey Perry is considering a 14-year gap. So it’s an interesting scenario. They are the only two players with such a gap, so Staal and Perry would join them.
Anecdotes: Of the teams that haven’t won the Cup in the past five years, only Detroit and Montreal have six Cup winners playing for their team. Name the six players from Montreal who won the Cup… and the six players from Detroit who won the Cup.
If Pat Maroon wins the Cup, it will be his third consecutive Cup. This has not happened since the Isles dynasty in 1983.
Carey Price is the first goaltender in NHL history to achieve 400 NHL victories before making his Stanley Cup debut. This guy deserves a haircut before he retires, doesn’t he? Shea Weber too …
Joel Armia did not travel with Montreal to Tampa. It is in the COVID-19 protocol.
If Montreal wins the Stanley Cup, Cole caufield will become the first player to win the Hobey Baker and the Stanley Cup in the same season. The only other person to make the Cup final after winning the Hobey Baker was Neal Broten in 1981 with Minnesota.
Beau Bennett has announced his retirement. He is only 29 years old and has had an excellent season in the AHL with 40 points in 55 games (and over-8). One of the biggest fantastic disappointments because he was 20e overall pick and he made the NHL just half a season after turning pro. And in that half-season, he’s amassed 14 points in 26 games with the Penguins. Well, that’s when its fantastic value peaked. Everything went downhill from there, from the point of view of fantasy. He retired due to the accumulation of injuries and joined Pro Mentor to coach and train young players.
See you next Monday.