Fantasy Hockey

Optimized and stacked rosters – DobberHockey

Dobber Hockey has officially entered the DFS space which, in case you missed it, our DFS subscription service, complete with our lineup optimizer, launched this week. If you want to see more, check out the link below where we’re running a promotion:

“Try our fantasy tools daily – Thousands of simulations run instantly to provide you with the most optimized range – Order now and get $20 off!”

If you are new to the site and this is your first time reading this article, I suggest you revisit some of my previous DFS Saturday articles when you have some time, as I try to give detailed strategy advice. whenever possible. For a quick rundown of what to do with the most optimized lineup and contests to play, here’s my take.

Optimized NHL rosters are perfect for cash style contests and small contests. “Cash” contests are loosely defined as those that pay close to 50% of the field. In the DraftKings lobby – heads-up, doubles and 50/50 are great examples of these contests. Even triple ups, which pay 33%, are acceptable. Optimized rosters are also best for smaller tournaments such as 20 player, 40 player, and leagues where you can probably be up to around 100 entries.

In these formats, you’re looking to create the fullest range possible and that’s what optimizers do best. A good optimizer like ours helps you find the value plays that are key and by running thousands of simulations, provides you with the players most likely to succeed on a given roster. Often you can just plug and play the optimized range, perhaps with some minor tweaking, in these formats without giving too much thought to ownership, correlation, or game theory in general. And you can probably do very well.

When it comes to large field tournaments of a few hundred to thousands of entries, you probably only want to use the optimizer as a tool, not gospel. My findings by tracking large tournament winning lineups over the past few months have strongly indicated that correlation by stacking line mates and power play units is the most successful strategy, which a lineup optimized is unlikely to give you. The extremely heavy nature of these tournaments where you are looking to build a roster in the top 0.1% of all rosters leads to a much more “all or nothing” approach than you would want for a small cash tournament, or a league-like range where you’re simply looking to avoid risk, not run towards it.

The best advice I can offer is to play a bit of everything at first and see what you like or do well. Try to keep in mind the type of contest you are participating in and be aware of the type of composition you should create for it. Be sure to review the best lineups from any contest you’ve entered and note how those lineups were built. And finally, you want to track your results so you know what is working/not working. You’re not going to win every day in the NHL no matter what you do, so you’ll need a sample before you can rate anything.

I hope some of you will find all of this useful. I’m gearing the rest of this article towards large tournaments, which comes as a nice compliment to the optimizer, which should be your go-to for most other formats. As a result, I mainly focus on stacks and correlation and try to create lineups that might finish last, but have the potential for things to go well, to also come in first. We have seven games on the main roster for tonight, so let’s dive into it. All players and prices are from DraftKings but can be applied to any site.

Four-player stacks under $25,000

Something I’ve covered in previous articles, but if you’re new it bears repeating, I like to keep stacks of four players at a combined salary of $25,000 or less for two reasons. First of all, that’s what the majority of winning lineups I’ve reviewed have done. And second, that’s why I guess it worked for those rosters is that it still allows you enough pay for the rest of your roster to fill it with solid plays, not just punts. The $25,000 figure isn’t set in stone, as you’ll see below, but I find it to be a reasonable soft cap.

Boston – The Bruins are playing well with wins in eight of 10 while the Blue Jackets frankly aren’t, with losses in five straight games. With the Bruins at home, I expect both of those trends to continue. Jake DeBrusk is down to $3,400 from previous highs closer to $5,000 just two weeks ago, despite scoring in three straight games. Its reduced tag allows you to include Boston’s best-known skaters like Patrice Bergeron ($7,400), Brad Marchand ($7,400) and David Pastrnak ($7,900). Pair two of those three with Debrusk and Charlie McAvoy ($5,800) to get a four-man stack in a plum match while staying under that $25,000 number.

Calgary – Targeting players against back-to-back teams on the road is one of my favorite strategies, and the Blues are the only team that fits the mold on this list, putting me over the Flames. Stack Calgary isn’t really something you’d have to twist my arm to do anyway, as evidenced by their nine-goal outburst last Saturday that dominated the night. Luckily, we can fit the Flames’ big three — Elias Lindholm ($6,900), Johnny Gaudreau ($6,900) and Matthew Tkachuk ($6,800) — into a pile with a top defenseman like Noah Hanifin ($3,800). $).

Tampa Bay – A back-to-back here for the Lightning, but with both home games and no need to travel, I’m not too worried. Tampa has won four in a row, while the glow around the Canadiens since Martin St. Louis took over has started to fade as they’ve lost nine of 12. I’m stretching my 25,000 rule a bit $ here for the stack of Nikita Kucherov ($7,500), Steven Stamkos ($6,700), Brayden Point ($6,200) and Mikhail Sergachev ($4,700) which totals $25,100. But it’s worth having these three attackers in a formation that can do tons of damage.

Three player stacks to shuffle

Winnipeg – With Kyle Connor likely still on the Covid roster, Nikolaj Ehlers ($6,200) gets the biggest opportunity to move to both the top line and the top power play. A player talented enough to take advantage of like Ehlers is definitely a place I want to include in the rosters. You can stack it with Mark Scheifele ($6,100) and Paul Stastny ($3,000) for a very affordable three-player game that you can combine with stacks from above.

philadelphia cream – Nothing sexy about this stack, it’s purely a price game, but getting a top line/top power play trio for just over $12,000 opens up a lot with the rest of your lineup. If you can get a goal down the line, you’re happy and two goals and you should have a chance to top the leaderboards. The stack I’m talking about is Cam Atkinson ($4,800), James van Riemsdyk ($3,000) and Ivan Provorov ($4,300). Travis Sanheim ($3,300) can be replaced by Provorov for even more savings.

Los Angeles – The Kings have several options in their top two lines that cost around $5,000 in salary that you can combine for a three-man stack. I’ll go with the trio of Anze Kopitar ($5,400), Phillip Danault ($5,000) and Adrian Kempe ($5,000) as my top three, but I have no problem mixing up Alex Iafallo ($4,600 $) or Sean Durzi ($5,300) as well.

Using the four-player stacks from the first section (or choosing three of the four from these) combined with the three-player stacks above, you can create your own lineups constructed in 4-3-1 or 3-3-1-1. , which are two of the most successful wide-field tournament strategies.

Inexpensive Power Play 1 Sockets

C – Morgan Frost ($2,500), Christian Dvorak ($3,400)

W – Gustav Nyquist ($2,600), van Riemsdyk ($3,000), Jakub Voracek ($3,200), Josh Anderson ($3,300), Alex Killorn ($3,600)

D – Nick Leddy ($2,600), Alex Goligoski ($2,700), Sanheim ($3,300)

Choice of goalkeeper

Jack Campbell ($8,000)

Connor Hellebuyck ($7,800)

Marc-Andre Fleury ($7,400)

Jonathan Quick ($7,600)

City Husso ($7,300)

Be sure to double-check your lineups before lockdown for any last-minute scratches or keeper changes. If you follow me on Twitter @SteveDotzel you can subscribe to my “DFS-NHL” list, which is made up of several team beat writers who tweet the latest news in real time. You can also contact me personally and I will do my best to answer all your questions. Hope to see you at the top of the leaderboards!