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peak guard

Luka Doncic FD – $11,200 DK – $11,600
Opponent – OKAY
Project Pts FD – 57.46 DK – 62.69

Jalen Brunson FD – $5,800 DK – $6,400
Opponent – OKAY
Proj Pts FD – 34.04 DK – 36.61

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game as heavy favorites against the Thunder, and for good reason. They are much better. So there is a risk of an eruption here for sure. But you would have to think that to get there, you would get really big plays from these two. Kristaps Porzingis is now on the shelf, which means even more offense (and that was already a lot) will now come through Doncic and Brunson. With Porzingis off the field this season, Doncic is pushing the utilization rate towards 38% (he’s around 35% regularly) and the rebound rate is also increasing. He’s already one of the guys on the upper floors there. The price is exorbitant, but it offers as much security as anyone on this slate.

And then there’s Brunson who has been sharing the pitch with Luka a lot more lately after joining the starting line-up on a permanent basis. It’s for sure cut into its fantastic up-to-the-minute output. But he should also see a slight uptick here with Staps out and Kidd likely to stagger his minutes again. I like Brunson for the higher usage rate in this game and I don’t think his price reflects that he really is the second option on offense for this game. The Thunder are not a breeze on the defensive plan and he has a slower pace, but these guys are still cash game options.

shooting guard

Jordan Clarkson FD – $5,700 DK – $6,400
Opponent – LAIR
Proj Pts FD – 34.21 DNK – 37.83

Donovan Mitchell remains out and Joe Ingles was lost for the season. Suddenly, the Jazz really lacks short-term offensive creators. The Jazz have lost five straight, but Clarkson last played 34 minutes shorthanded, taking the second most shots after Mike Conley. They’ll need him to round up the score here against the Nuggets who are also stumbling a bit. I don’t think Clarkson’s price has been fully corrected for what should be a starting role on Wednesday. Usage seems to be solid and the Jazz is really going to need its score.

Josh Giddey FD – $6,000 DK – $7,900
Opponent – DAL
Project Pts FD – 36 NSP – 40.2

Without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander against the Blazers on Monday, Giddey took over much of the offense and led the Thunder to a somewhat surprising win over the Trailblazers at home. He was solid, getting 14 points, 12 rebounds and four assists in total. He struggled a bit in the field and the assist total seems a bit low, but overall you’ll pick up this kind of production at the FanDuel price. It gets a little steep on DraftKings. I don’t mind the game against Dallas here which will be without Kristaps Porzingis and still think the Thunder will play Giddey here for 33 minutes almost no matter the situation or the score. He makes a solid FanDuel game on the ground.

Monk Malik (FD 6600 DK 5300) played a ton of minutes last game in the starting role for the Lakers and was amazing. The DraftKings price is still a bit too low.

small forward

Cedi Osman FD – $4,400 DK – $4,600
Opponent – HOO
Proj Pts FD – 29.73 DK – 31.51

Dot-Cedi? It sure looks like it. Osman took over the Cavs offense on Monday with Darius Garland out, starting at point guard and playing admirably in the role. He ended up playing 38 minutes in the win over New Orleans and finished with 12 assists in all. He also scored seven points, but ran very poorly on the field, shooting just 3-16 and 0-7 from three. There’s actually still a massive fantasy upside at those prices for Osman who is set to start again, and this time has just about the best fantasy matchup ever against the Rockets. He’s basically a cash lock considering the salaries, new role, and opponent.

Dorian Finney Smith FD – $4,200 DK – $4,400
Opponent – OKAY
Proj Pts FD – 25.77 DNK – 27.37

If you’re looking to fill out the lineups with a cheaper game, I think Dorian Finney-Smith is a perfect fit. With Kristaps Porzingis out of the lineup, he’s online for more minutes as a stretch winger who can hold multiple positions. With Staps off the court this season, DFS is seeing bumps across the board, including a 6% increase in usage and a 4% increase in rebounds. For a guy at the lower end of the pay scale, those are significant increases and he should be running more as well. He played 38 minutes the last game after Kristaps went off injured.

Power forward/center

Anthony Davis FD – $9,600 DK – $10,200
Opponent – ORP
Proj Pts FD – 51.25 DK – 52.08

In the last two games with Lebron off the court due to injury, the Lakers have needed a ton of Anthony Davis. And that should continue with LBJ now out a little longer. In those two, AD is averaging 29 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 4.5 defensive stats while playing major minutes. It all adds up to him being a safer option that almost never feels right around this guy. The continued propensity for injury is still very real, but there’s almost no way around it, especially on the FanDuel prize. Against the Blazers, I think we can get him out without too much hesitation and we should just assume that everything will be fine and he’ll play a ton of minutes.

isaiah jackson FD – $6,000 DK – $5,400
Opponent – ENT
Proj Pts FD – 34.71 DNK – 34.19

With Domantas Sabonis, Myles Turner, and then Goga Bitadze, the Pacers turned to Isaiah Jackson on Monday to log a bunch of center minutes. And the guy was a complete beast. He had 26 points and 10 rebounds in 29 minutes. It was a total chalk game at very low prices, and these fixed some of them in the short term. But not enough. Sure, he’s seen an increase, but not quite in line with what we can expect from this guy by the minute. Against the Magic, he should once again push towards 30 minutes and still has a very high floor. I think it can be played on both sites, but especially DraftKings.

Maxi Kleber (FD 4800 DK 4100) is likely to see a ton of opportunities in this game with Porzingis out. He comes so, so cheap on DraftKings that I think you can take the risk even though usage is usually pretty low on this guy.

Against the Rockets, this seems to be one of Jarrett Allen (FD 7600 DK 7700) or Evan Mobley (FD 6900 DK 7400) could be up for a monster game. But without a fanatical attack initiator (Osman isn’t that guy even though his numbers were decent last game) it gets a bit difficult for these guys. That being said, they still get one of the best DFS matchups out there. And it’s not breaking the bank for you either.

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