Kotkaniemi Rod Offer Sheet, Theodore vs. Pietrangelo, Subsequent 1st Round picks in Fantasy Drafts (August 29) – DobberHockey
Call it a recovery with enough entertainment value to send a jerk through on a generally uneventful Saturday in the NHL offseason. By signing Jesperi Kotkaniemi on an offer, Carolina general manager Don Waddell is taking full revenge on the Canadiens for their offer to Sebastian Aho two years ago. Who said all NHL organizations are boring and closed?
All this fun could come at a cost to the Hurricanes, however. The offer sheet is only for one year but at $ 6.1 million, which seems much higher than Kotkaniemi’s value at the moment. It will cost the Canes a first and third round pick in the 2022 draft if the Habs choose not to tie. If they match, the Habs would have about $ 2 million more than their exceptional LTIR space. Additionally, Kotkaniemi is set to qualify at $ 6.1million next summer, which I could see either team walk away unless he comes out in a meaningful and unexpected way. Whatever happens, Kotkaniemi’s contractual situation will not take the right path.
If Montreal decides not to match Kotkaniemi’s offer, look for a Fantasy Take article here on how teams would be affected. I’m not going to jump in here, because I really don’t know what’s going to happen. I guess he’d be buried in the Carolina depth chart on the third or fourth row, but by investing $ 6million the Canes might have other ideas.
The reimbursement offer sheets are not, however, a first. In the summer of 2008, the Canucks signed a three-year, $ 7.5 million offer with David Backes for the Blues. A week later, the Blues signed Steve Bernier to a one-year, $ 2.5 million offer, which the Canucks matched.
Regarding my fictional draft from last weekend, one reader suggested that Alex Pietrangelo was drafted too high (4-48) and Shea Theodore was drafted too low (7-75). These picks pretty much match how they’re worded in Yahoo, as Pietrangelo has an ADP of around 50 and Theodore has an ADP of around 78. Which d-man would you prefer to have on your fantastic team? It was an intriguing question that I have seen discussed elsewhere, so I thought I had to weigh it. Here are their stats from last season.
|name||GP||g||A||pls||PTS / G||Rhythm||PPP||+/-||SOG||PPTOI||YOU||Shots||BkS|
I realize Pietrangelo hasn’t played a full season and maybe it took a season to get used to Vegas after a decade in St. Louis. Pietrangelo also had an exceptional playoff series (12 points in 19 games) where he led all players with 76 shots despite his absence in the Cup final. Pietrangelo also slightly passed Theodore in those precious power play minutes (2:15 PPTOI to 2:08 PPTOI), so it might not be obvious that Theodore gets the PP1 role. But I think there’s a more than 50% chance that Theodore will do it, so my strategy here would be to let Pietrangelo down and catch Theodore in round five or six – a round or two before his ADP.
I took part in another mock draft this week, where I decided to challenge myself a little more with a first-round pick later (# 9). For some reason, I tend to receive the last picks in the first round instead of the top picks in real life when picked at random. Choosing in ninth place would also help me pick a solid second tier option beyond what appears to be the top 5 of the consensus caps of Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Nathan MacKinnon, Nikita Kucherov and Andrei Vasilevskiy.
Why discuss the options of the first round when all the players you choose in this round are going to be awesome? Well, I’m going to repeat a line I first heard from ESPN fantasy guru Matthew Berry years ago: “You won’t win your fantasy league with your first round pick, but you will. could certainly lose her with this choice. I know he was talking about football or baseball, but the same principle applies to hockey.
Here are a few names that I would recommend if you’re in that latter part of the first round.
I didn’t think it would happen, but it ended up bumping into me at # 9. Perhaps it was because of the news that he had had wrist surgery earlier this month, with recovery potentially leading to a training camp. I can understand someone’s reluctance to pick him in 6th place, but I was happy to get him back in 9th place. Maybe this will also happen in your draft. We’re talking about the reigning Rocket Richard Award winner, and by a good eight goals.
You could make an argument – even a toss – about whether to pick Marchand or his teammate David Pastrnak here. Similar score, and probably on the same row again. Pastrnak will probably take a few more shots, so I would go with him into the pure goal leagues. Still, if you’re in a banger league, Marchand takes the advantage due to his hits and penalty minute totals. Pastrnak was already gone in that fake No. 7 draft, so Marchand was my next pick if Matthews got caught.
Everything for Ovechkin has taken at least a slight hit in 2020-21: goals, points, shots and even hits. Still, it was an unusual year where the Capitals had their share of players in the COVID protocol, including Ovechkin himself. The team have enough confidence in him to have given him a five-year contract worth $ 9.5 million per season. There’s also Gretzky’s goal-scoring pursuit, which if you divide the difference over five seasons, Ovie should score 33 goals per season. He will be 36 in September, but at least he will still be motivated.
The Bread Man has consistently scored at a rate of 113 points in each of the past two seasons. Yes, that peak pace for his two seasons with the Rangers. The fact that he missed 14 games last season (most of which was to take care of a personal matter) could bring his ranking down if you only watched last season’s goal race. It won’t ship elite peripherals, but it’s arguably a top 5 option in the pure scoring leagues. You can write it up and look to populate those devices elsewhere.
The Avalanche forward was the sixth player drafted in that mock draft, and he’s also on average the sixth player drafted in the Yahoo Leagues. So it will probably be gone if you choose the ninth. In the pure point leagues, maybe I could justify the sixth pick over Rantanen. However, I might look elsewhere (one of the players above) if I have the sixth pick. Rantanen’s peripheral categories do not stand out (low shots, never reached 200 shots in a season). Plus, he’s been at a bit of injury risk throughout his career.