Jorge Masvidal vs Kamaru Usman – FantasyCruncher.com DFS Articles & Ideas
Combat Study (04/24/21)
In a rematch of their July 2020 fight, the 4th ranked contender in the division, Jorge masvidal, and current champion, Kamaru Usman, will face off again for the welterweight title. Usman is the big favorite in this fight and will carry the biggest wages in DFS contests. It’s available for $ 9,400 on DraftKings and $ 23 on Fanduel. Masvidal is priced at $ 6,800 and $ 16 respectively. This fight is a title fight and has been scheduled for 5 rounds. Current odds make this a -170 favorite to go the distance.
Masvidal is a longtime combat veteran with a 35-14 record with 16 KO / TKO wins, 2 submission wins and 17 decision wins. His last fight was the first iteration of that game against Usman in which he lost solidly and by unanimous decision. Before this fight he was on a very impressive 3 game winning streak with wins Nate diaz, Ben askren and Darren till with every win coming from KO / TKO. If he gets the chance, he can strike with any fighter in the division. Unfortunately, a champion of Usman’s abilities doesn’t offer his opponents the opportunity to participate in a clean stand-up contest. If Masvidal is hoping for a different outcome this time around, he’ll have to find a way to avoid Usman’s grip and stay on his feet this time around.
Usman is a dominant champion with an 18-1 record with 8 wins by KO / TKO, 1 win by submission and 9 wins by decision. After losing his second career fight, he has remained undefeated ever since, streaking a 17-game winning streak leading up to Saturday’s fight. He dominates his opponents and uses the suffocating wrestling and crushing ground and pounding to render his opponents helpless. He did this in his first fight with Masvidal and the numbers to implement the same strategy again. He’s just too good at what he does for his opponents to deal with it.
This fight is very similar to the first. Obviously, Masvidal has been working on his fight and take out defense. He looked visibly better conditioned at Friday’s weigh-in. Still, there’s little chance he’ll be able to change things this time around. This is why Usman is the second-biggest favorite of any UFC 261 fighter. He threatens to take out his opponents so much that even a top striker like Masvidal is unable to execute his game plan against him. He’s very well conditioned and he exerts relentless pressure in the octagon.
For those looking to predict this fight, look no further than Masvidal / Usman 1. In this fight, Usman landed 94 important strikes and performed 5 takedowns while shutting down Masvidal completely. In contrast, Masvidal was limited to 66 significant hits over 25 minutes for an average of 2.64 significant hits per minute. Masvidal successfully defended 11 takedown attempts but it left him little time to do anything else. Moreover, Masvidal spent most of his time standing, nailed to the cage, rendered helpless by the champion. I fully anticipate a repeat of that on Saturday and will avoid re-registering Masvidal. Usman will have a very high salary and therefore cannot be assured of providing much value for his prize, but he is worth measured exposure in GPP contests and also makes a very reliable gambling game.
For more combat study, be sure to keep an eye out for FantasyCruncher.com leading up to UFC 261 on April 24.
UFC 261: FIGHT # 1, Masvidal vs. Usman
For Fight Study on UFC 261: FIGHT # 2, Namajunas vs Weili, click HERE.